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New Study Establishes Valuation Benchmarks for Internet
Companies
Bond & Pecaro's "CyberValuation" Profiles 595
Mergers, Acquisitions & IPOs
WASHINGTON, DC, July 6, 1999Bond & Pecaro,
a Washington, D.C.-based consulting firm, has completed an in-depth
study on the valuation of Internet companies. Everyone from the
boardroom to the water cooler knows that Internet firms have been
commanding astronomical premiums over standard measures of value.
The question is, how much is enough, how much is justified? Bond
& Pecaro's published report, CyberValuation, analyzes 595
recent transactions in an effort to highlight trends and offer a
toolkit of practical measures of valuation for shareholders, CFO's,
lenders, investors, and industry analysts.
"As we became involved in the growing flurry of mergers
& acquisitions of Internet companies in recent years, we realized
that everyone from CFO's, to casual investors is grappling with
valuation standards for this emerging industry," says Tim Pecaro,
principal at Bond & Pecaro. Bond & Pecaro has provided financial
consulting and valuation services to the communications and media
industries since 1986. "This is very much like what we saw in the
mid-1980's in the cellular telephone industry until
the industry matures, 'value' is much more an estimation of potential
than a demonstration of actual financial success."
The analysis has developed revenue, subscriber and
monthly unique visitor valuation multiples for ISP's (Internet Service
Providers), portals, Internet retailers, and business-to-business
e-commerce ventures. Transaction profiles include details such as
purchase price, offering proceeds, market capitalization, revenues,
and subscribers or unique users of the Internet entity. The report
also includes information regarding transaction structure where
available and abridged financial statements for selected companies
within each sector.
Bond & Pecaro principal Jeff Anderson promises, "New
transactions affect the benchmarks we've developed on a daily basiswe
are committed to publishing regular updates and research studies
for the benefit of our clients and other interested parties."
SUMMARY FINDINGS: Bond & Pecaro's "CyberValuation"
Report
The study highlights value creation opportunities
inherent in the recent round of Internet IPOs. The IPO market is
ascribing large premiums to Internet companies that garner a critical
mass of subscribers, viewers, or customers. In many instances, the
IPO valuation multiples substantially exceed the multiples paid
for Internet companies in asset or stock acquisitions. In contrast
to many industries, these multiples have tended to grow in the Internet
field, even as the industry begins to mature.
Portal entrepreneurs have truly pioneered a new business
segment. Portal revenue and operating profit potential can be particularly
difficult to predict at this early stage of development, but buyers
and investors are willing to pay multiples of 29 to 37 times revenues
or $285 to $340 per monthly unique visitor.
Online retailers and certain business-to-business
entities also fall into this high growth group. Internet retail
revenue multiples in the 30 to 36 range are commonplace. The multiples
paid for such businesses as eBay.com and Priceline.com substantially
exceed this range and reflect a radically different marketplace
for goods and services or a reordering of the retail distribution
pipeline.
As a group, the weighted average multiples paid in
ISP transactions were lower, typically within the 5 to 7 times revenue
multiple and $920 to $1,400 per subscriber range. Buyers and investors
appear to view ISPs in a similar context to other subscriber-based
businesses such as cable television, cellular telephone, and newspapers.
Investors have also ascribed more conservative multiples
(12 to 13 times trailing revenues) to the business-to-business e-commerce
entities. In certain instances, companies in the business-to-business
sector are quite similar to traditional companies, but simply utilize
a more efficient transaction and delivery model.
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