| Adelphia
Anxiety Staggers Cable Stocks

By George Mannes
Senior Writer
06/18/2002 07:09 AM EDT
The cable industry is trying hard not to get splattered with the
mud flung at Adelphia Communications (ADELA:OTC BB - news - commentary
- research - analysis). But investors still see spots everywhere.
In the wake of disclosures of inaccurate accounting at Adelphia,
at least three publicly traded cable TV operators reached out to
Wall Street last week to say they don't engage in suspect accounting
practices. The companies, among the industry's biggest players,
insist they've got no nasty surprises hidden in their financial
statements.
But investors, feeling burned by suspect accounting in the telecom
industry and in energy trading, have decided that the cable industry's
numbers aren't as trustworthy as they used to be. And that's meant
very bad things for a sector whose largest operators have lost between
30% and 70% of their value this year -- with no particular relief
in sight, observers say.
The accounting practices disclosed in an Adelphia filing at the
Securities and Exchange Commission early last week "are not
widespread," says Michael Willner, CEO of cable operator Insight
Communications (ICCI:Nasdaq - news - commentary - research - analysis)
and chairman of the National Cable and Telecommunications Association,
the dominant cable TV industry trade group. But, he acknowledges,
there's a "widespread flu" among cable TV operators "because
there were some accounting practices in other industries -- in particular
I'm thinking of the telecom industry -- which we are not even similar
to."
Different This Time?
Certainly, the accounting issues troubling other industries haven't
been limited to single companies. Multiple telcos have engaged in
questionable capacity swaps, trading similar amounts of fiber-optic
usage rights in transactions that critics say inaccurately boosted
revenue and capital expenditures.
Meanwhile, Enron wasn't the only energy trader to engage in tit-for-tat
transactions in which the only apparent benefit was to increase
revenue and inflate companies' reported amounts of trading volumes.
But Adelphia, insists the cable industry, is different.
"This is a case where we have a very unique situation in one
company that was reporting certain ways I don't think you're going
to find any of the others doing," says Willner.
In Adelphia's June 10 filing, the company's current management
outlined several "erroneous" or insufficiently conservative
practices through which it said the previous management overstated
revenue and inflated earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation
and amortization. EBITDA -- a common bottom-line yardstick often
used as part of cable stock valuation -- was overstated by 15.3%
in 2000 and 17.5% in 2001, according to Adelphia's new crew.
Insight was one of several companies last week seeking to differentiate
between its accounting practices and Adelphia's, though Insight's
conference call with investors indicated the extent to which accounting
judgment, good or bad, affects cable operators' bottom lines.
Insight and cable operators Cablevision Systems (CVC:NYSE - news
- commentary - research - analysis) and Mediacom Communications
(MCCC:Nasdaq - news - commentary - research - analysis) deny, for
example, that they receive "marketing support" payments
from vendors of set-top boxes. Adelphia said last week that as early
as 2000, the company received such marketing support payments from
cable box suppliers that canceled out a price increase Adelphia
paid for its set-top boxes. The effect of these transactions, says
Adelphia, was to overstate capital expenditures, improperly reduce
operating expenses and inflate EBITDA by $54 million in 2001 alone.
Additionally, say Insight, Cablevision and Mediacom, they don't
capitalize the cost of either disconnecting or reconnecting subscribers.
In contrast, Adelphia says that in the past it improperly capitalized
certain expenses such as those associated with reconnecting disconnected
subscribers and operating customer service centers. Like the marketing
support payments, Adelphia's practice apparently helped understate
operating expenses and overstate EBITDA, by perhaps $40 million
in 2001.
Gray Areas
However, Insight, in its conference call last week with investors,
indicated that, as is the case with other cable operators and other
industries, the task of classifying expenditures as operating expenses
or capital expenditures isn't cut and dried. As is the case with
other cable operators, Insight's technicians out in the field may
spend part of their day installing a home's first cable connection
-- in which case parts and labor would be counted as capital expenditures
-- and part of their day reconnecting cable-equipped homes for new
service, in which case parts and labor would be operating expenses.
What Insight does, explained executives, is allocate labor costs
on the basis of the company's determination of how much time is
spent on new connections as opposed to reconnects; 20% of connections
are new connections, Insight says. Taking into account the additional
labor involved in upgrading the company's systems, about 35% of
technical labor costs over the past three years have been capitalized,
including $48 million in 2001. Those numbers, Insight emphasized,
did not include call-center labor or other nontechnical labor.
To be sure, the degree to which the cable industry's woes are due
to Adelphia's accounting blowback rather than other factors is difficult
to sort out.
Cable system valuations comprise two basic elements, says John
Sanders, principal of Bond & Pecaro, a Washington, D.C.-based
consulting firm specializing in the appraisal of media and communications
businesses. One part of the valuation, says Sanders, relates to
the here-and-now of a cable system's condition and finances; the
second part relates to expectations of future revenue and revenue
growth.
"It's difficult at this point to dissect precisely how much
of the behavior of the cable stocks is attributable to reporting
isssues, and how much [is attributable to] the growth outlook,"
he says.
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